Volume 4, Issue 1 (1-2025)                   JRHMS 2025, 4(1): 1-13 | Back to browse issues page

XML Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Vali M, Ghaem H, Salimi Z, Salimi H. Comparison of the trend of incidence and mortality rates of male breast cancer in Iran with SDI regions: 1990-2021. JRHMS 2025; 4 (1) :1-13
URL: http://jrhms.thums.ac.ir/article-1-134-en.html
1- Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
2- Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
3- Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran
Abstract:   (14 Views)
Despite advancements in breast cancer research, the incidence and mortality of male breast cancer (MBC) continue to rise worldwide and in Iran. This study aimed to investigate the temporal trend of the incidence and mortality rates of MBC in Iran, with a particular focus on regional disparities based on the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) over 30 years (1990-2021). This ecologic study employed an analytic approach to investigate temporal trends in MBC incidence and mortality rates in Iran and six SDI regions. Data from the GBD 2021 study were used to compare trends across the six SDI regions. Joint point regression analysis was conducted to estimate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC). MBC incidence rates (ASIR) showed an overall upward trend (1990–2021), with significant regional variations. Middle and high-middle SDI regions had the highest increases (AAPC = 3.61 and 2.59, respectively), while lowmiddle SDI regions also showed consistent growth (AAPC = 2.17). High SDI regions displayed fluctuating trends, with increases during the 1990s, followed by declines. In Iran, ASIR rose significantly until 2019 (AAPC = 2.19), with a notable peak in 2004 (APC = 7.87) and a reversal in 2019 (APC = -3.92). The mortality (ASDR) trends were more variable. The high SDI regions saw significant declines (AAPC = -0.45), whereas Iran (AAPC = 0.65) and the middle and low-middle SDI regions experienced increases. The sharpest increases in both incidence and mortality in Iran were observed in men aged ≥ 70 years, with rates tripling over the study period. This study revealed significant regional and temporal variations in male breast cancer (MBC) incidence and mortality, driven by socioeconomic, behavioral, and healthcare-related factors. Urgent public health efforts focusing on early detection, awareness, and equitable healthcare access are critical to address the rising MBC burden, especially in the low and low-middle SDI regions.
Full-Text [PDF 1142 kb]   (19 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Orginal Article | Subject: General
Received: 2026/04/25 | Accepted: 2026/04/25 | Published: 2026/05/23

References
1. Siegel RL, Miller KD, Jemal A. Cancer statistics, 2018. CA: a cancer journal for clinicians. 2018;68(1):7-30. [DOI:10.3322/caac.21442]
2. Ravandi-Kashani F, Hayes TG. Male breast cancer: a review of the literature. European Journal of Cancer. 1998;34(9):1341-7. [DOI:10.1016/S0959-8049(98)00028-8]
3. Donegan WL, Redlich PN. Breast cancer in men. Surgical Clinics of North America. 1996;76(2):343-63. [DOI:10.1016/S0039-6109(05)70443-6]
4. American Cancer S. Key statistics for breast cancer in men. American Cancer Society; 2020.
5. Giordano SH, Cohen DS, Buzdar AU, Perkins G, Hortobagyi GN. Breast carcinoma in men: a population‐based study. Cancer: Interdisciplinary International Journal of the American Cancer Society. 2004;101(1):51-7. [DOI:10.1002/cncr.20312]
6. Ribeiro G. Male breast carcinoma--a review of 301 cases from the Christie Hospital & Holt Radium Institute, Manchester. British journal of cancer. 1985;51(1):115-9. [DOI:10.1038/bjc.1985.16]
7. Izquierdo MA, Alonso C, de Andres L, Ojeda B. Male breast cancer report of a series of 50 cases. Acta Oncologica. 1994;33(7):767-71. [DOI:10.3109/02841869409083946]
8. Gough DB, Donohue JH, Evans MM, Pernicone PJ, Wold LE, Naessens JM, et al. A 50-year experience of male breast cancer: is outcome changing? Surgical oncology. 1993;2(6):325-33. [DOI:10.1016/0960-7404(93)90063-5]
9. Borgen PI, Wong GY, Vlamis V, Potter C, Hoffmann B, Kinne DW, et al. Current management of male breast cancer. Annals of surgery. 1992;215(5):451-9. [DOI:10.1097/00000658-199205000-00007]
10. Heller KS, Rosen PP, Schottenfeld D, Ashikari R, Kinne DW. Male breast cancer: a clinicopathologic study of 97 cases. Annals of surgery. 1978;188(1):60. [DOI:10.1097/00000658-197807000-00010]
11. Crichlow RW, Galt SW. Male breast cancer. Surgical Clinics of North America. 1990;70(5):1165-77. [DOI:10.1016/S0039-6109(16)45237-0]
12. O'Malley C, Shema S, White E, Glaser S. Incidence of male breast cancer in California, 1988-2000: racial/ethnic variation in 1759 men. Breast cancer research and treatment. 2005;93:145-50. [DOI:10.1007/s10549-005-4517-z]
13. Brinton LA, Richesson DA, Gierach GL, Lacey Jr JV, Park Y, Hollenbeck AR, et al. Prospective evaluation of risk factors for male breast cancer. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 2008;100(20):1477-81. [DOI:10.1093/jnci/djn329]
14. Antoniou A, Pharoah PDP, Narod S, Risch HA, Eyfjord JE, Hopper JL, et al. Average risks of breast and ovarian cancer associated with BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations detected in case series unselected for family history: a combined analysis of 22 studies. The American Journal of Human Genetics. 2003;72(5):1117-30. [DOI:10.1086/375033]
15. Friedman LS, Gayther SA, Kurosaki T, Gordon D, Noble B, Casey G, et al. Mutation analysis of BRCA1 and BRCA2 in a male breast cancer population. American journal of human genetics. 1997;60(2):313.
16. Thorlacius S, Struewing JP, Hartage P, Olafsdottir GH, Sigvaldason H, Tryggvadottir L, et al. Population-based study of risk of breast cancer in carriers of BRCA2 mutation. The Lancet. 1998;352(9137):1337-9. [DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(98)03300-5]
17. Thomas DB, Rosenblatt K, Jimenez LM, McTiernan A, Stalsberg H, Stemhagen A, et al. Ionizing radiation and breast cancer in men (United States). Cancer Causes & Control. 1994;5:9-14. [DOI:10.1007/BF01830721]
18. Brinton LA, Key TJ, Kolonel LN, Michels KB, Sesso HD, Ursin G, et al. Prediagnostic sex steroid hormones in relation to male breast cancer risk. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2015;33(18):2041-50. [DOI:10.1200/JCO.2014.59.1602]
19. Hultborn R, Hanson C, Köpf I, Verbiene I, Warnhammar E, Weimarck A. Prevalence of Klinefelter's syndrome in male breast cancer patients. Anticancer research. 1997;17(6D):4293-7.
20. Swerdlow AJ, Schoemaker MJ, Higgins CD, Wright AF, Jacobs PA. Cancer incidence and mortality in men with Klinefelter syndrome: a cohort study. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 2005;97(16):1204-10. [DOI:10.1093/jnci/dji240]
21. Brinton LA, Cook MB, McCormack V, Johnson KC, Olsson H, Casagrande JT, et al. Anthropometric and hormonal risk factors for male breast cancer: male breast cancer pooling project results. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 2014;106(3):djt465. [DOI:10.1093/jnci/djt465]
22. Thomas DB, Margarita Jimenez L, McTieman A, Rosenblatt K, Stalsberg H, Stemhagen A, et al. Breast cancer in men: risk factors with hormonal implications. American Journal of Epidemiology. 1992;135(7):734-48. [DOI:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116360]
23. Brinton LA, Carreon JD, Gierach GL, McGlynn KA, Gridley G. Etiologic factors for male breast cancer in the US Veterans Affairs medical care system database. Breast cancer research and treatment. 2010;119:185-92. [DOI:10.1007/s10549-009-0379-0]
24. Mehrbani D, Tabeei S, Heydari ST, Shamsina SJ, Shokrpour N, Amini M, et al. Cancer occurrence in Fars province, southern Iran. 2008.
25. Asgharian M, Moslemi D, Nikbakht H-A, Jahani M-A, Bijani A, Mehdizadeh H. Male breast cancer: a 32-year retrospective analysis in radiation therapy referral center in northern Iran. Annals of Medicine and Surgery. 2024;86(10):5756-61. [DOI:10.1097/MS9.0000000000002571]
26. Tahmasebi S, Akrami M, Omidvari S, Salehi A, Talei A. Male breast cancer; analysis of 58 cases in Shiraz, South of Iran. Breast disease. 2010;31(1):29-32. [DOI:10.3233/BD-2009-0293]
27. Salehi A, Zeraati H, Mohammad K, Mahmoudi M, Talei AR, Ghaderi A, et al. Survival of male breast cancer in Fars, South of Iran. Iranian Red Crescent Medical Journal. 2011;13(2):99.
28. Murray CJL. The global burden of disease study at 30 years. Nature medicine. 2022;28(10):2019-26. [DOI:10.1038/s41591-022-01990-1]
29. Institute for Health M, Evaluation. Global Burden of Disease 2021: Findings from the GBD 2021 Study. Institute for health metrics and evaluation. 2024.
30. Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ, Midthune DN. Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Statistics in medicine. 2000;19(3):335-51. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000215)19:3<335::AID-SIM336>3.0.CO;2-Z [DOI:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000215)19:33.0.CO;2-Z]
31. Clegg LX, Hankey BF, Tiwari R, Feuer EJ, Edwards BK. Estimating average annual per cent change in trend analysis. Statistics in medicine. 2009;28(29):3670-82. [DOI:10.1002/sim.3733]
32. Dragomirescu I, Llorca J, Gómez-Acebo I, Dierssen-Sotos T. A join point regression analysis of trends in mortality due to osteoporosis in Spain. Scientific reports. 2019;9(1):4264. [DOI:10.1038/s41598-019-40806-0]
33. Chen Z, Xu L, Shi W, Zeng F, Zhuo R, Hao X, et al. Trends of female and male breast cancer incidence at the global, regional, and national levels, 1990-2017. Breast cancer research and treatment. 2020;180:481-90. [DOI:10.1007/s10549-020-05561-1]
34. Contractor KB, Kaur K, Rodrigues GS, Kulkarni DM, Singhal H. Male breast cancer: is the scenario changing. World journal of surgical oncology. 2008;6:1-11. [DOI:10.1186/1477-7819-6-58]
35. Deng Y, Li H, Wang M, Li N, Tian T, Wu Y, et al. Global burden of thyroid cancer from 1990 to 2017. JAMA network Open. 2020;3(6):e208759-e. [DOI:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.8759]
36. Momenimovahed Z, Salehiniya H. Epidemiological characteristics of and risk factors for breast cancer in the world. Breast Cancer: Targets and Therapy. 2019:151-64. [DOI:10.2147/BCTT.S176070]
37. Rojas K, Stuckey A. Breast cancer epidemiology and risk factors. Clinical obstetrics and gynecology. 2016;59(4):651-72. [DOI:10.1097/GRF.0000000000000239]
38. Xu Y, Gong M, Wang Y, Yang Y, Liu S, Zeng Q. Global trends and forecasts of breast cancer incidence and deaths. Scientific data. 2023;10(1):334. [DOI:10.1038/s41597-023-02253-5]
39. Bab S, Abdifard E, Elyasianfar S, Mohammadi P, Heidari M. Time trend analysis of breast cancer in Iran and its six topographical regions: a population-based study. Journal of medicine and life. 2019;12(2):140. [DOI:10.25122/jml-2018-0087]
40. Dinmohamed AG, Visser O, Verhoeven RHA, Louwman MWJ, Van Nederveen FH, Willems SM, et al. Fewer cancer diagnoses during the COVID-19 epidemic in the Netherlands. The Lancet Oncology. 2020;21(6):750-1. [DOI:10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30265-5]
41. Freer PE. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast imaging. Radiologic Clinics. 2021;59(1):1-11. [DOI:10.1016/j.rcl.2020.09.008]
42. Figueroa JD, Gray E, Pashayan N, Deandrea S, Karch A, Vale DB, et al. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on breast cancer early detection and screening. Preventive medicine. 2021;151:106585. [DOI:10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106585]
43. Mubarik S, Wang F, Malik SS, Shi F, Wang Y, Nawsherwan, et al. A hierarchical age-period-cohort analysis of breast cancer mortality and disability adjusted life years (1990-2015) attributable to modified risk factors among Chinese women. International journal of environmental research and public health. 2020;17(4):1367. [DOI:10.3390/ijerph17041367]
44. Arshi A, Sharifi FS, Ghahfarokhi MK, Faghih Z, Doosti A, Ostovari S, et al. Expression analysis of MALAT1, GAS5, SRA, and NEAT1 lncRNAs in breast cancer tissues from young women and women over 45 years of age. Molecular Therapy-Nucleic Acids. 2018;12:751-7. [DOI:10.1016/j.omtn.2018.07.014]
45. Alireza S, Mehdi N, Ali M, Alireza M, Reza M, Parkin D. Cancer occurrence in Iran in 2002, an international perspective. Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention. 2005;6(3):359.
46. Lim YX, Lim ZL, Ho PJ, Li J. Breast cancer in Asia: incidence, mortality, early detection, mammography programs, and risk-based screening initiatives. Cancers. 2022;14(17):4218. [DOI:10.3390/cancers14174218]
47. Vuong Q-H, Le T-T, Jin R, Khuc QV, Nguyen H-S, Vuong T-T, et al. Near-suicide phenomenon: An investigation into the psychology of patients with serious illnesses withdrawing from treatment. International journal of environmental research and public health. 2023;20(6):5173. [DOI:10.3390/ijerph20065173]
48. Li NA, Deng Y, Zhou L, Tian T, Yang S, Wu Y, et al. Global burden of breast cancer and attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Journal of hematology & oncology. 2019;12:1-12. [DOI:10.1186/s13045-019-0828-0]
49. Goss PE, Reid C, Pintilie M, Lim R, Miller N. Male breast carcinoma: a review of 229 patients who presented to the Princess Margaret Hospital during 40 years: 1955-1996. Cancer. 1999;85(3):629-39. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0142(19990201)85:3<629::AID-CNCR13>3.0.CO;2-V [DOI:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0142(19990201)85:33.0.CO;2-V]
50. Asgharian M, Moslemi D, Nikbakht HA, Jahani MA, Bijani A, Mehdizadeh H. Male breast cancer: a 32-year retrospective analysis in radiation therapy referral center in northern Iran. Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2024;86(10):5756-61. [DOI:10.1097/MS9.0000000000002571]
51. Travis RC, Key TJ, Allen NE, Appleby PN, Roddam AW, Rinaldi S, et al. Serum androgens and prostate cancer among 643 cases and 643 controls in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition. Int J Cancer. 2007;121(6):1331-8. [DOI:10.1002/ijc.22814]
52. Haghighat S. COVID-19 and breast cancer. Breast Disease. 2022;14(1):7-10. [DOI:10.30699/ijbd.14.1.7]
53. Atashi V, Mohammadi S, Salehi Z, Shafiei Z, Savabi-Esfahani M, Salehi K. Challenges related to health care for Iranian women with breast cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic: a qualitative study. Asian Journal of Social Health and Behavior. 2023;6(2):72-8. [DOI:10.4103/shb.shb_205_22]
54. Yousef AJA, editor Male breast cancer: epidemiology and risk factors2017: Elsevier.
55. Vos T, Lim SS, Abbafati C, Abbas KM, Abbasi M, Abbasifard M, et al. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The lancet. 2020;396(10258):1204-22. [DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30925-9]
56. Flaxman AD, Vahdatpour A, James SL, Birnbaum JK, Murray CJL. Direct estimation of cause-specific mortality fractions from verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population health metrics. 2011;9:1-10. [DOI:10.1186/1478-7954-9-35]
57. Mikkelsen L, Phillips DE, AbouZahr C, Setel PW, De Savigny D, Lozano R, et al. A global assessment of civil registration and vital statistics systems: monitoring data quality and progress. The Lancet. 2015;386(10001):1395-406. [DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60171-4]
58. Mohammadi G, Akbari ME, Mehrabi Y, Motlagh AG. Quality assessment of the national cancer registry in Iran: completeness and validity. Iranian Journal of Cancer Prevention. 2016;9(6). [DOI:10.17795/ijcp-8479]
59. Ataeinia B, Saeedi Moghaddam S, Shabani M, Gohari K, Sheidaei A, Rezaei N, et al. National and subnational incidence, mortality, and years of life lost due to breast cancer in Iran: trends and age-period-cohort analysis since 1990. Frontiers in oncology. 2021;11:561376. [DOI:10.3389/fonc.2021.561376]

Add your comments about this article : Your username or Email:
CAPTCHA

Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2026 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Journal of Research in Health and Medical Sciences

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb